Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 3.750481 4.063948 4.406834 4.812672 5.283807 5.818445 6.478289
2025-11-30 3.295310 3.707070 4.187427 4.799217 5.573109 6.542476 7.889089
2025-12-07 2.961600 3.399871 3.929665 4.633563 5.571553 6.823532 8.711237
2025-12-14 2.699754 3.144410 3.695917 4.452046 5.500722 6.973395 9.352985
2025-12-21 2.560829 3.024771 3.614904 4.449933 5.656904 7.446887 10.574857
2025-12-28 2.433108 2.906675 3.521575 4.414829 5.752453 7.834574 11.750009
2026-01-04 2.281429 2.745759 3.356897 4.260457 5.646644 7.879128 12.310314
2026-01-11 2.196374 2.667208 3.297226 4.249180 5.754771 8.288809 13.699780
2026-01-18 2.153898 2.642448 3.308668 4.341181 6.034643 9.044325 16.116552
2026-01-25 2.281002 2.857585 3.675425 5.013608 7.393598 12.206652 26.824758
2026-02-01 2.144679 2.692746 3.473408 4.758332 7.064502 11.799990 26.673727
2026-02-08 2.017043 2.535548 3.275796 4.498156 6.703064 11.269154 25.885816
2026-02-15 1.960889 2.487342 3.252029 4.546259 6.972994 12.347578 32.540385
2026-02-22 1.892330 2.418452 3.193772 4.533776 7.132559 13.251063 40.313593
2026-03-01 1.799431 2.308288 3.063576 4.382800 6.985905 13.316100 44.090672
2026-03-08 1.710698 2.200367 2.930975 4.216951 6.787009 13.190714 46.761668
2026-03-15 1.664619 2.153891 2.892426 4.215020 6.936143 14.113646 59.798060
2026-03-22 1.615817 2.100901 2.840090 4.182903 7.014003 14.862385 75.522638
2026-03-29 1.548241 2.016689 2.733071 4.041496 6.825986 14.696852 80.851200
2026-04-05 1.511183 1.977646 2.697592 4.031154 6.939930 15.606194 109.604154
2026-04-12 1.494624 1.969235 2.711617 4.115475 7.292976 17.576296 206.186020
2026-04-19 1.569330 2.106512 2.978696 4.728808 9.157777 28.171352 NaN
2026-04-26 1.499107 2.010391 2.838976 4.496569 8.666652 26.276845 NaN